johnpaulca 12,036 posts msg #130067 - Ignore johnpaulca |
7/26/2016 4:00:01 PM
SPHS...excellent call
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Kevin_in_GA 4,599 posts msg #130068 - Ignore Kevin_in_GA |
7/26/2016 4:07:53 PM
Well, this filter would not have had me in SPHS until the close, so I am looking for a further pullback into the close tomorrow.
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johnpaulca 12,036 posts msg #130069 - Ignore johnpaulca |
7/26/2016 4:38:52 PM
almost a red floater
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Kevin_in_GA 4,599 posts msg #130070 - Ignore Kevin_in_GA |
7/26/2016 4:51:35 PM
That actually was the original genesis of the filter (I hadn't really looked at short filters all that much) but it got me focused on days above upper BBs which seems to be a pretty good edge for shorting.
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Eman93 4,750 posts msg #130074 - Ignore Eman93 |
7/26/2016 7:25:05 PM
Bought the gap down on ERX! Sold half into the close. Crude inv on deck 10am.
Kevin break of upper bb is long term bullish and is a buy signal for top rsi stocks. That's the turtle trade.
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Kevin_in_GA 4,599 posts msg #130075 - Ignore Kevin_in_GA |
7/26/2016 7:29:59 PM
Yes, but if it occurs several days in a row it usually triggers a one or two day sell-off that is a relatively high probability trade. Note that in this paper trade I will be out at the close tomorrow. No longer term strategy used on this one.
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Eman93 4,750 posts msg #130087 - Ignore Eman93 |
7/27/2016 12:14:43 PM
I get it. I was just pointing it out if you didn't know. So sell the pop and buy the dip!
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Kevin_in_GA 4,599 posts msg #130089 - Ignore Kevin_in_GA modified |
7/27/2016 2:00:08 PM
Pretty much, although I am only focusing on short trades with this one.
Intraday Update as of 1:58 PM EST:
AMD - down 3.30%
S - down 8.96%
SPHS - down 5.59% (although this one technically did not qualify since it collapsed back below its Upper BB by the end of the day yesterday).
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shillllihs 6,049 posts msg #130090 - Ignore shillllihs |
7/27/2016 2:05:00 PM
Fantastic, share your marvelous filter...
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Kevin_in_GA 4,599 posts msg #130091 - Ignore Kevin_in_GA |
7/27/2016 2:18:26 PM
I wouldn't call it marvelous just yet ... anyone can occasionally get three wins on a given day.
The filter is not any rocket science. It simply looks for optionable, liquid stocks that have closed above their upper BB(20,3) for the last two days. I have not run this one through my usual backtesting in StrataSearch, and you need to look at each stock just in case the big move is triggered by an event that is likely to resist mean-reversion (e.g., a buy out or merger).
Here you go:
Today you would avoid LOGM since it has moved based on a buyout from Citrix, but the others are looking reasonable for a short term pullback. Doesn't always happen, but it happens more often than not, and at a bigger return than what you might lose when the stock moves higher. Occasionally there is another big move up (like 8-10%) and in that case I probably would double down.
The user-defined variable tradesize can be set for whatever your typical trading size might be.
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