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5,087 posts
msg #144581
Ignore four
9/6/2018 11:22:55 PM

Options: The Basics
Options – overview of basic terms and concepts
What is an option? Calls and puts.
5 basic characteristics of every option
Strike vs. market price vs. underlying price
In the money, at the money, out of the money
Exercising options and expiration
Basic Option Positions
Call, Put, Long, Short, Bull, Bear… Confused?
Call option payoff diagram, formula and logic
Put option payoff diagram and formula
Short call payoff diagram and formula
Short put payoff diagram and formula
Long call vs. short put differences and when to trade which
Option Pricing and Greeks
Black-Scholes model – all resources
Black-Scholes model history and key papers
Black-Scholes model assumptions
Black-Scholes model inputs (parameters)
Black-Scholes formula (d1, d2, call price, put price, Greeks)
Black-Scholes Excel formulas and how to create a simple option pricing spreadsheet
Option Greeks Excel formulas
Option delta
Measuring directional exposure with delta: single option and option spreads
Volatility start page (all resources)
Why is volatility proportional to the square root of time?
Volatility rule of 16
Historical volatility
Historical volatility calculation
Implied volatility
Calculating implied volatility in Excel
VIX (CBOE Volatility Index)
VIX start page (all resources)
What is VIX? (short and long answer)
VIX calculation explained
VIX-SPX correlation
VIX and S&P500 same direction statistics
VIX futures
VIX futures curve
VIX options
VIX expiration calendar (futures & options)
VIX ETF & ETN list
VIX COT (Commitment of Traders)
Summary statistics start page (all resources)
Arithmetic average advantages and disadvantages
Arithmetic average: When to use it and when not
Median definition and calculation
Calculating variance and standard deviation in 4 easy steps
Population vs. sample variance and standard deviation
Skewness formula
Skewness in Excel (SKEW)
Kurtosis formula
Kurtosis in Excel (KURT)
Technical Analysis
The three moving average parameters
Finding the best moving average period length
RSI calculation
RSI overbought and oversold condition
True Range
ATR calculation
Using MACD Histogram to trade the traditional MACD crossover
Alternative Investments
Sharpe Ratio
Value at Risk advantages: Why use VAR in risk management
Value at Risk (VAR) limitations and disadvantages
Black-Scholes Formula (d1, d2, Call Price, Put Price, Greeks)
Black-Scholes Model – All Resources
Option Greeks Excel Formulas
Volatility Tutorials

5,087 posts
msg #144583
Ignore four
9/6/2018 11:49:36 PM

The consumer staples exchange-traded fund’s (ETF’s) dividend yield hit 3% in recent days.

Why’s that a big deal? Remember, dividend yields and stock prices go in opposite directions. In this case, the lower the ETF’s stock price, the bigger its dividend is to investors who buy at that price.

Here’s the important part…

The ETF’s dividend yield has only been this high — 2.75% or higher — four other times in the past decade.

In each of those times, the price of the ETF rose an average of 17% over the next four to five months. Check out the chart below, with the ETF’s dividend yield (the red line) transposed over its stock price (the black line):

Consumer Staples Sector

(Source: CapitalIQ)

If I put those circled yields in a table, this is how a stock purchase works out in the following months…

Consumer Staples Sector

It’s also worth noting that in each of the four cases above, the broader stock market indexes — such as the S&P 500 — moved higher too. That’s not surprising, given that companies like Campbell Soup, Procter & Gamble and other biggies in this sector also make a big chunk of the index as well.

But there’s also one outlier worth keeping in mind.

Back in the early 2000s, overall dividend yields were lower, so the “2.75% or higher” level doesn’t apply here. But in the late 1990s, as the dot-com boom hit its final highs, the consumer staples ETF once more fell deeply out of favor with Wall Street.

Between November 1999 and March 2000 — the same month the dot-com boom turned to bust — the consumer staples ETF fell 26% while its yield rose to a then-extreme high of 1.07%.

5,087 posts
msg #144587
Ignore four
9/7/2018 8:55:10 AM

5,087 posts
msg #144606
Ignore four
9/8/2018 1:49:24 AM

Orders up in 2018

... surpassing last month’s total by 300 orders. Class 8 orders were again exceptionally strong in the U.S. market, with most OEM’s racking up great order months. Orders were even m/m and up 153% y/y. Orders continue their hot streak in 2018. Six of the top twelve order months ever, have occurred in the first eight months of this year. North American Class 8 orders for the past twelve months have now totaled 477,000 units.

Carriers continue to scramble to get enough trucks on the road to handle the robust freight growth. The surging economy and vibrant manufacturing sector are stretching the logistics system to the limit. In some markets, goods are moving slower due to supply chain gridlocks, necessitating even more trucks to deliver goods.

5,087 posts
msg #144761
Ignore four
9/25/2018 7:28:12 PM

Ottawan and the founder and CEO of Shopify, Tobi Lütke

5,087 posts
msg #144815
Ignore four
10/1/2018 12:59:40 AM

5,087 posts
msg #144873
Ignore four
10/6/2018 4:49:29 PM

5,087 posts
msg #144874
Ignore four
10/6/2018 5:42:31 PM

It's a brand new season of Top Dogs with a brand new teacher. New trader, Howard Tullman, is joined by ex-floor trader and tastytrade host, Tony Battista.

In the inaugural episode, Howard and Tony recap what Howard traded with Tom Sosnoff and get a basic pulse on his current portfolio.

With 21 days until options expiration, the duo looks to roll some positions and then clean up a few positions. Additionally, Tony presents a few slides that help the beginner trader understand the relationship between between Delta, Premium, Level of Aggression and options strategy.

5,087 posts
msg #144949
Ignore four
10/13/2018 6:10:21 PM

Lessons from Annie Duke (Author of “Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don’t Have All the Facts”)
October 13, 2018
Annie Duke received an NSF Fellowship to attend graduate school at the University of Pennsylvania to study cognitive psychology. Because she missed the job market one year due to a stomach ailment that put her in the hospital, she decided to try to make some money by playing poker until the next academic hiring season. This detour resulted in her acquiring 20 years of experience in the real-world behavioral laboratory known as professional poker. In 2004, she won her first World Series of Poker bracelet and that same year she won the $2 million winner-take-all WSOP Tournament of Champions. In 2010 she won the NBC National Heads-Up Poker Championship beating her mentor Erik Seidel in the final event. She is the author of Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don’t Have All the Facts.

5,087 posts
msg #145200
Ignore four
11/5/2018 9:27:37 PM

In Florida, the module will be joined with the Orion crew module built by Lockheed Martin (LMT.N), followed by over a year of intensive testing before the first three-week mission orbiting the Moon is launched in 2020, albeit without people.

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