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Stock Picks and Trading · Weinstein Strategy Picks
xarlor
msg #148749
8/1/2019 12:55:58 PM

With fed rate cuts, the financial sector historically outperforms.

JPM is very close to reaching its all-time high. Every time it breaks its 30-year high JPM makes a huge move up before setting a new all-time high resistance. In the near-term, looking for a breakout above the ascending triangle.



BAC is a sympathy play on the financial sector fed rate cut.



General Discussion · The coming storm....
xarlor
msg #148700
7/26/2019 1:38:24 PM

https://www.gobankingrates.com/saving-money/savings-advice/58-of-americans-have-less-than-1000-in-savings/

"Methodology: This GOBankingRates survey asked 5,002 adults the following six questions: 1) How much money do you have saved in your savings account? 2) What are you primarily saving for? 3) What obstacle(s) are keeping you from saving more money each month? 4) Of the following, which (or who) has proven most helpful for managing your savings? 5) How often do you deposit money in your savings? 6) What would you do or sacrifice if it meant achieving your savings goals? For question No. 2, respondents could choose more than one response.

Responses were collected through a Survata survey from Aug. 27, 2018, to Sept. 4, 2018, and are representative of the U.S. online population."


Generational breakdown from 2017 survey:

https://www.gobankingrates.com/saving-money/savings-advice/half-americans-less-savings-2017/?utm_campaign=821369&utm_source=yahoo.com&utm_content=1


Stock Picks and Trading · Weinstein Strategy Picks
xarlor
msg #148689
7/25/2019 2:29:17 PM

Interesting setup forming on CSCO. On watch as we near earnings.



Filter Exchange · My Version of Steve Primo Strategy 8 Filter (Long Only)
xarlor
msg #148593
7/19/2019 1:37:37 PM

Just the facts, ma'am.
(Removed columns. Only show c-rsi > 65).

Fetcher[

/* davesaint86 version of Steve Primo Strategy 8 Filter (Long Only) */

show stocks where rsi(5) crossed above the 50 line and price is above 10 and Average Volume(30) is above 1,000000

price above ema(15)
price above ma(50)
ema(15) above ma(50)
draw rsi(5)
draw rsi(5) line at 50
draw rsi(5) line at 40
draw rsi(5) line at 50
draw rsi(5) line at 20
draw rsi(5) line at 80

draw ma(50)
draw ema(15)

set{E10, price above ma(15)}
set{D10Longposition, count(E10 > 0,1)}
set{D10Shortposition, count(E10 < 0,1)}
SET{D10TRIGGER,0}

set{E27, price above ma(50)}
set{D20Longposition, count(E27 > 0,1)}
set{D20Shortposition, count(E27 < 0,1)}
SET{D20TRIGGER,0}


set{E31, price above Upper Bollinger Bands(18,2)}
set{ABLongposition, count(E31 > 0,1)}
set{ABShortposition, count(E31 < 0,1)}
SET{ABSTRIGGER,0}

set{E35, price below Lower Bollinger Bands(18,2)}
set{BBLongposition, count(E35 > 0,1)}
set{BBShortposition, count(E35 < 0,1)}
SET{BBSTRIGGER,0}


set{CRS1, rsi(5),1)}
set{CRS2, rsi(13),1)}
set{CRS3, rsi(21),1)}
set{CCRS1, CRS1 + CRS2}
set{CCRS2, CCRS1 + CRS3}
set{CCRS3, CCRS2 /3}

set{CRS4, weekly rsi(5),1)}
set{CRS5, weekly rsi(13),1)}
set{CRS6, weekly rsi(321),1)}

set{WCRS1, CRS4 + CRS5}
set{WCRS2, WCRS1 + CRS6}
set{WCRS3, WCRS2 /3}
set{CWRSI1, CCRS3 + WCRS3}
set{C-RSI, CWRSI1 /2}
set{RSI21, RSI(21) - 50}
set{CRSI_Bar, RSI21}
PlotType{CRSI_Bar,zerobar}

set{RSI13, RSI(13) - 50}
set{RSI13_line, RSI13}
draw RSI13 on plot CRSI_Bar

set{RSI5, RSI(5) - 50}
set{RSI5_line, RSI5}
draw RSI5 on plot CRSI_Bar

set{drsilong1, count(rsi(21) above 5, 1)}
set{drsilong2, count(rsi(13) above rsi(21), 1)}
set{drsilong3, count(rsi(5) above rsi(21), 1)}
set{drsilong4, drsilong1 + drsilong2}
set{drsilong5, drsilong4 + drsilong3}
set{drsilong, count(drsilong5 equals 3, 1)}
set{drsishort, count(drsilong5 less than 3, 1)}
SET{DRSITRIGGER,0}


set{wrsi1, weekly rsi(5)}
set{wrsi2, weekly rsi(21)}
set{wrsi3, count(wrsi1 > wrsi2,1)}
set{wrsilong, count(wrsi3 equals 1, 1)}
set{wrsishort, count(wrsi3 less than 1, 1)}


set{CRS21, ROC(21,1)}
set{CRS63, ROC(63,1)}
set{CRS126, ROC(126,1)}
set{CR1, CRS21 + CRS63}
set{C-RS, CR1 + CRS126}

Set{W21, CRS21 * .33}
Set{W63, CRS63 * .33}
Set{W126, CRS126 * .34}
set{rw1, w21 + w63}
set{rw-c, rw1 + w126}


set{wsto, weekly Slow Stochastics(14,3)}
set{dsto, Slow Stochastics(14,3)}
set{wdsto, wsto + dsto}
set{CSTO, wdsto / 2}
set{TWRSI5, weekly RSI(5)}
set{TWRSI13, weekly RSI(13)}
set{TWRSI21, weekly RSI(21)}
set{TWRSI1, TWRSI5 + TWRSI13}
set{TWRSI2, TWRSI1 + TWRSI21}
set{A-WRSI, TWRSI2 / 3}
set{TDRSI57, RSI(5)}
set{TDRSI13, RSI(13)}
set{TDRSI30, RSI(21)}
set{TDRSI1, TDRSI5 + TDRSI13}
set{TDRSI2, TDRSI1 + TDRSI21}
set{A-DRSI, TDRSI2 / 3}



set{LongRSI21Trend,count(RSI(21) > 50 ,1)}

set{LongRSI,count(RSI5 > RSI13 ,1)}


set{LongRSI5,count(RSI5 above the 0 line ,1)}
draw longrsi5 on plot
set{LongRSI13,count(RSI13 above the 0 line ,1)}
draw longrsi13 on plot
set{LongRSI21,count(RSI21 above the 0 line ,1)}
draw longrsi21 on plot
DRAW FIBONACCI UP(65)
DRAW FIBONACCI DOWN(65)

add column c-rsi

SORT COLUMN 5 desCENDING
CHART-TIME IS 120 days
c-rsi > 65
]



Stock Picks and Trading · Weinstein Strategy Picks
xarlor
msg #148558
modified
7/17/2019 1:22:23 PM

@graft Personally, I stay away from anything new to the market. History on this only goes back to 10/25/18. Not enough data for me to form an opinion which way the thing is going to go.

P.S. - The Oracle of Omaha backs it, fwiw.

Fetcher[
chart-time is 3 years
symlist(STNE)
add column sector
draw wma(150)

draw Relative Strength(^SPX,150)
draw 180-day slope of Relative Strength(^SPX,150)
]



Stock Picks and Trading · Weinstein Strategy Picks
xarlor
msg #148555
modified
7/17/2019 11:23:31 AM

@volvlov "It's really hard to find stocks that don't have really hard overhead resistances."

This is the filter I use to find stocks with clear sailing ahead. It's based on Weinstein's first chapter. It found me EGO on 07/02/19 and I'm still riding it up.




Fetcher[
/* Break above 3-year high */

market is not etf
optionable
average volume(30) > 500000
low > 5

/* 1-2. General assumptions about price and volume */
close > open
close 1 day ago > open 1 day ago
volume > volume 1 day ago

/* 3. 30-week MA */
close > MA(150)

/* 4. Long-range background */
set{var1,high 1 day ago}
set{var2, high 3-year high 2 days ago}
set{NewHighs,count(var1 > var2,50)}
add column NewHighs
var1 > var2

/* 5. Relative-strength line */
Relative Strength(^SPX,150) > 1.5
30-day slope of Relative Strength(^SPX,150) > 0

draw ma(150)
draw high 3-year high
draw Relative Strength(^SPX,150)
do not draw var1
do not draw var2
]



Stock Picks and Trading · Weinstein Strategy Picks
xarlor
msg #148537
modified
7/16/2019 5:47:35 PM

@volvlov I'd keep it on long-term watch. The relative strength, although increasing the last few days, has a nasty 9-month downward slope. According to Weinstein, this is a red flag to skip it and move on to the next one. Additonally, the Industrials sector has been mostly under-performing the SPX since April 2018.

Fetcher[
chart-time is 3 years
symlist(MINI,XLI)
add column sector
draw wma(150)

draw Relative Strength(^SPX,150)
draw 180-day slope of Relative Strength(^SPX,150)
]



General Discussion · Help with Filter
xarlor
msg #148521
modified
7/14/2019 9:58:59 PM

I found the problem, here is the corrected filter, and NWL does show now:

Fetcher[
/* Maximum MA is 400. Maximum weekly MA is 100 */

optionable
market not otcbb
market not etf
market not amex

set{var1,price}
set{var2,weekly ma(100)}
set{var3,var1/var2}
set{var4,1-var3}
set{var5,count(var4 > 0.05,1)}
var5 > 0

volume > 1000000
close between 5 and 1000

set{var6,count(var4 > 0.15,100)}
var6 > 0
add column var6

set{var7,count(close < var2,251)}
var7 > 250

draw weekly ma(100)
add column var4

do not draw var2
do not draw var5
do not draw var6
do not draw var7
]



According to the usage guide, weekly and daily are all that is supported. I tried using monthly and yearly with MA but it didn't work, it reverts back to daily.

Fetcher[
draw monthly ma(5)
draw yearly ma(2)
]



General Discussion · Help with Filter
xarlor
msg #148516
7/14/2019 7:33:31 PM

JohnT328, the maximum MA is 400 on SF. Maximum weekly MA is 100. I don't know if this invalidates your strategy, but I wrote one using the weekly MA(100). NWL still did not show up, but could be due to the MA(600) condition.

Fetcher[
/* Maximum MA is 400. Maximum weekly MA is 100 */

optionable
market not otcbb
market not etf
market not amex

set{var1,price}
set{var2,weekly ma(100)}
set{var3,var1/var2}
set{var4,1-var3}
set{var5,count(var4 > 0.05,15)}
var5 > 0

volume > 1000000
close between 5 and 1000
close < var2 for past 12 months

set{var6,count(var4 > 0.15,100)}
var6 > 0
add column var6


draw weekly ma(100)
add column var4

do not draw var2
do not draw var5
do not draw var6
]



General Discussion · Need help with what I think should be a simple filter
xarlor
msg #148438
modified
7/9/2019 10:20:58 PM

My mistake, I misread it as EMA(17) below price. Just switched var1 and var2 around and I think this is what you're after:

Fetcher[

close > ema(17)
not otcbb
not etf
not amex
average volume(30) > 1000000
close between 15 and 1000
optionable
historical volatility(100) > 20
rsi(14) < 69

set{var1,price}
set{var2,ema(17}
set{var3,var1/var2}
set{var4,1-var3}
set{var5,count(var4 > 0.04,15)}
var5 > 0

add column var1
add column var2
add column var4
add column var5

do not draw var5
]



Note I used price as the condition, not close. That means if any time during the day the price reached 4% below EMA(17) it will count. Or did you just want it to count if the close is 4% below?

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