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General Discussion · ConnorsRSI
msg #109703
12/29/2012 10:37:42 PM

Thanks to both of you.


General Discussion · ConnorsRSI
msg #109700
12/29/2012 5:27:20 PM

Is anyone trading this either real time or papertrading and if so, is it working like it backtested?

Is my question a fair question to ask due the effects of political uncertainty on the markets recently?

General Discussion · Survey: Looking for ideas on these ETFs - (Short or Long)
msg #109693
12/28/2012 12:48:32 PM

You may want to hear what Jon Nagarian said

Najarian ‘Completely Out of Everything’

Filter Exchange · HYG vs. TLT
msg #109600
12/23/2012 1:05:25 PM


The way I read the article, it appeared to suggest long term trades. If that is correct, could you explain why your filter appears to be set up for short term trades?


General Discussion · ConnorsRSI
msg #109555
12/21/2012 12:27:35 AM


Re :I don't think there is any evidence for the assertion that simply because a stock dropped back to back days of 6% that there would be an expectation that it would keep heading down.

It wasn't an assertion, just a question. It seems logical that reversion to the mean works just fine during sideways or uptrending markets. It seems counter intuitive to me that this system had such small drawdowns during such a vicious down market, yet Kevin's fine research shows otherwise. I wasn't trying to saying Kevin was wrong; I was just trying to say I didn't understand how & why. Why would be a good thing to know if we have another move down like that.

Connors has been at trading research for decades. Perhaps even Connors would have questioned results like these and asked "why does it work this way in down markets" until the evolution of his research brought him to the conclusion that this concept works just fine in extreme markets.

Anyway, thanks to you and Kevin for your contributions.


General Discussion · ConnorsRSI
msg #109535
12/20/2012 12:31:12 PM

A couple of questions

1. Re: HLF just hit a buy. Would the entry have been after it had gone below $35.10 the 1st time this morning and then traded above $35.10 around 10:04 AM EST? It looks like it has gone below $35.10 3 times this morning.

2. Does anyone have knowledge or even an opinion as to why this system backtested so well during the bear market that started in 2008? Buying stocks that just experienced 2 back to back drops of 6% or more during a really serious downturn suggests that would they would keep heading down but the equity curve shows otherwise and in fact, this system had a very small drawdown.

Filter Exchange · HELP FILTER 97% Success
msg #109260
12/10/2012 4:00:02 PM


From your 10-28 post of trade results, are you saying that this concept would have you trading both VXX & XIV? The trade results start off with roughly the same trade trigger dates although they do seem to trigger a few days apart later in the backtest?

From looking at a comparison chart of VXX & XIV, they don't move exactly opposite of each other but close. I assume you are simply showing a comparison of vehicles using the same trading concept but just wanted to make sure.


General Discussion · Question for BarTune1 re: Pair Trading
msg #108102
9/19/2012 10:14:47 AM

Thanks. I'll keep trying on PairTradeFinder.

I signed up for Pairslog and I definitely see the difference.

General Discussion · Question for BarTune1 re: Pair Trading
msg #108084
9/18/2012 11:15:01 AM

BarTune1 or anyone,

Does anyone have an opinion or recommendation on pair trading software?

I am in a free trial with PairTradeFinder. It is impressive software but it stopped working and they don't respond to customer support questions. I have downloaded SQL multiple times and PairTradeFinder twice. From their forum, it appears I'm not the only one having problems.

There are some sites that are good for backtesting pairs one at a time and/or getting correlations but I haven't found a site that does what PairTradeFinder does.

Any comments will be appreciated.


General Discussion · POLITICS GOES HERE
msg #108041
9/13/2012 10:58:47 AM

The part about refusing to take a breat analyzer test raises an interesting point of law. An attorney once told me not to refuse...simply say that I am willing to take the test and that I have a constitutional right to have an attorney present during the test. Our Founding Fathers put this in the constitution because back in Merry Old England a lot of bad things happened to you when you were "questioned". Asking for your attorney to be present creates a dilemma for both sides. Driving is a privilege, not a right and your privilege may be revoked if they conclude that in effect you refused the test. You will probably have to move the case above the local level to an appeals court where they actually understand the constitution. A suspended privilege may or may not be worse than a criminal conviction. That's a personal choice and of course its better not to drink and drive.

Its also a personal choice whether to put up with roadblocks and allow your constitutional rights to be violated.

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