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General Discussion · UUP and UDN
the_trade123
msg #97101
10/19/2010 11:39:18 PM

Take a look at these direct and inverse dollar ETFs. Can see a reversal in Dollar happening. Within a week we should see the market tanking. I am wondering how much more Bernanke and Co will push the dollar down.

Filter Exchange · GLD and SLV Extreme Bearing Engulfing
the_trade123
msg #96813
10/8/2010 10:34:02 AM

ALF which amazing filter is John talking abt? U have so many....

Filter Exchange · GLD and SLV Extreme Bearing Engulfing
the_trade123
msg #96801
10/7/2010 9:52:00 PM

Both these were overbought and symptomatic of a bubble which seems to have burst today. There is significant downside if tomorrow's job report crashes the market which it seems might happen with the recent weakness.

Any suggested (Put) option plays?

Filter Exchange · Interesting - VXX:SPY ratio accurately calls recent tops and bottoms
the_trade123
msg #96717
10/3/2010 11:53:12 PM

Very frustrating. There are several things right now to consider. On one hand technicals such as overbought, decreasing momentum etc are at play. on the other hand the recent breakout seems to be warranated given that elections are nearby and fed wants to just keep pumping in the last minute (all this seems absolutely timed), so that by the election day things will look hunky dory and there will be a QE2 around Nov 1st week and with endless cash in the market the downfall seems to be around Q1 of next year. I am out of the market and have been watching post the +5% run last month (missed the last 2% of SPY) and still thinking if LONG is the way to go...i am more convinced now that LONG it is, play the breakout till it lasts (may be 2 months more). This week will clarify a bit more. Lets see.....

Filter Exchange · Interesting - VXX:SPY ratio accurately calls recent tops and bottoms
the_trade123
msg #96634
9/30/2010 2:08:26 PM

IT flipped today. Will wait for 1 or 2 sessions to confirm

General Discussion · IS this truly a breakout?
the_trade123
msg #96551
9/24/2010 8:34:29 PM

Is this rally a real one or a sucker's rally? would you participate in this one; moreso because there is an election looming in front of us and there is a huge risk to the downside....and by the time this shows us to be a real one, it may end and tank..

Filter Exchange · Interesting - VXX:SPY ratio accurately calls recent tops and bottoms
the_trade123
msg #96489
9/23/2010 4:51:21 PM

Time to short SPY.

Filter Exchange · Interesting - VXX:SPY ratio accurately calls recent tops and bottoms
the_trade123
msg #96448
9/22/2010 12:52:31 PM

Sell signal for SPY looking very close now

Filter Exchange · Play the low crossover
the_trade123
msg #96199
9/12/2010 6:59:36 PM

all this seems to suggest that market top is near. so is SPY, right at the top. may be end of this week there will be bearish sentiment back in the market

Filter Exchange · What do you think about AMZN
the_trade123
msg #96017
9/4/2010 8:45:05 PM

thanks guys. to answer four; i would like to keep a position for a few days; i try to catch it near the bollinger band edge (top or bottom). i think it is nearing the top. may be 2 more sessions with extreme volume and a very small spread and then a day of really low volume followed by a downtrend. I will keep a watch and alert. CCI and MACD should provide sufficient info on the timing imho.

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