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Stock Picks and Trading · Picks and Pans Since Jan 2020
sandjco
msg #151582
modified
3/31/2020 8:57:35 AM

Eye catching headlines are now popping up...
- Another "massive decline" is around the corner
- Things will be worse than the "great depression"

While I wasn't born during the depression....I know they didn't have Tinder them days nor did they have any gene sequencing technology nor was the QE the thing. The way I look at it, once we flatten (like China did), we will soon realize that it wasn't the end of the world. Maybe a month or two more of meandering?

Meanwhile, there are now 800,000 cases worldwide; 591K are active and of those 30K are serious. US has twice more cases than China at 164K. NY is getting the brunt of it.

So easy to get sucked into the headlines. Per my previous post...if this was really bad, we should have fallen harder no? TTWO has no business staying this healthy bruh. Looks like the bear was selective in who it was going to thrash. Nothing wrong to nibble around for B&H




What business does this have in getting high?


Guppy view..next levels to hurdle 270 and 285. Looks like the traders are back.


stay safe out there!



Stock Picks and Trading · Picks and Pans Since Jan 2020
sandjco
msg #151548
3/29/2020 5:46:22 PM

When is the other shoe supposed to drop?
DOW 3 mo -24%
SPY 3 mo -21%
QQQ 3 mo -13%





FXI dropped 33% from approx $44 high..

Interesting ... the supposed to be more "risky" and volatile Tech type index hasn't "crashed and burned" (hit 3 yr low?) as bad as the "conservative" type?

News? What else...dominated by Corona still with US now surpassing China at 121K vs 81K and 718K worldwide. With 533K active cases and 6% or 26K deemed critical.

Social distancing is the buzzword with non essential services closed forcing gov'ts to pump liquidity into the system not only by lowering rates but also in "aid$$". $$ to buy time to flatten the curve?




Stock Picks and Trading · Village Elder Short -Sell Filter discussions
sandjco
msg #151517
3/27/2020 10:06:14 PM

VE,

Thank you for sharing the system and taking the time to answer the questions.

I, for one, am very thankful.

Stock Picks and Trading · Picks and Pans Since Jan 2020
sandjco
msg #151459
3/25/2020 11:07:10 PM

2 Trillion bailout package stuck ...SPOO faded


Meanwhile US is now 206 cases/1M pop vs China's 56/1M

Stock Picks and Trading · Picks and Pans Since Jan 2020
sandjco
msg #151437
3/25/2020 8:25:56 AM

Is this the turn? stop at $16


Stock Picks and Trading · Picks and Pans Since Jan 2020
sandjco
msg #151405
modified
3/24/2020 8:52:46 AM

Based on Xarlor's formula...

Fetcher[
symlist(spy)
set{vol63,average volume(63)}
set{volm, vol63 * 21}
set{volm1, volm 1 month ago}
set{volm2, volm 2 months ago}
add column volm{mo vol}
add column volm1{1mo ago vol}
add column volm2{2mo ago vol}
]



gotta run..
- have to find the highest monthly volume over 'x' time
- draw the volm1 and 2 on vol pane

Stock Picks and Trading · Picks and Pans Since Jan 2020
sandjco
msg #151404
3/24/2020 8:23:52 AM

Xarlor, thank you x2!!!!! Grateful for your help as always!

For the low reference...SPY's 3 yr low is 218 and 5 yr low is 181 assuming I didn't mess up this formula that i derived from Xarlor:
Fetcher[
set{x1,low 3-year low}
set{x2,x1 2 years ago}
set{5YL,min(x1,x2)}

add column 5YL{5yrlo}
draw price line at 5YL
]



For the volume thing...I'm just in the early stages of trying to understand the correlation between price and volume as I've often wondered if trading could be as "pure" as just looking at price and volume without using anything else. Why? Fascinated by the psychology of the "buy" and "sell" decisions and given today's pandemic heavy headlines, I am able to witness it first hand. In the elevator about 2 weeks ago, an advisor was talking his client out of liquidating and to stay put...I also find myself tempted to "act" expecting this and expecting that. So far, patience has prevailed. So far, the temptation of trying to "catch the bottom" has been avoided.

Lots of damage in a month; WMA150 (Weinstein reference point?) barely budged...



Stay safe!

Stock Picks and Trading · Picks and Pans Since Jan 2020
sandjco
msg #151391
3/23/2020 12:18:08 PM

svtsnakebitn
34 posts
msg #151389
- Remove message 3/23/2020 10:37:46 AM

it was also based on TMV that broke through resistance.... dangit. Could've gotten back in this morning at 36.77... its back around $40 again!

Hahahaha...if I had an option contract every time I said danggit for missing a run this year alone, I'd be a friggin rock star! There will always be another babe!


Only thing I don't like about the set up is that it went up too far too fast. Will probably sell 3/4 of my TLT today.

On a totally unexpected (by me anyways) play that I was hoping to be able to build a bigger stake was...

Apr 150C busted a move already....

As always....good luck and your mileage may vary.



Stock Picks and Trading · Picks and Pans Since Jan 2020
sandjco
msg #151388
modified
3/23/2020 9:39:23 AM

svtsnakebitn
33 posts
msg #151371
- Remove message 3/22/2020 9:20:42 PM

Hey Sandjco - I drew my resistance line from the black bar and the close on Friday powered through the resistance - looking for a gap up tomorrow and picked up TMF AH on Friday @ 38.25

Good luck svtsnakebitn!
I don't play AH ever. I am sorry as I have issues doing "drawings" lol.


The trend line you were referring to probably is the blue one? I had that in mind. My play was based on the red ones. This would be another perfect example of one chart but seen from 2 different approaches. I wouldn't be surprised if someone else played it short if it doesn't break.

Interesting thing about the virus...
Fetcher[
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
]


95% of current active cases are mild...but yet, subjectively, if I was judging it based on the news or social media, I would be led to believe it is a horror show out there.

Yes, there will be a slow down. Yes, the streets have probably 90% less traffic and yes, I find it interesting people hoarding TP when I went to Costco (there was a fight too!).

Question to the board:
- is there a way to get more than 3 years of data (it doesn't have to show on the screen)? Say...5 or 7 yr hi and low?
- is there a way to see monthly volume over the last 5 years?
I remembered seeing or reading here that we can "fetch" data past 2 years but we just cannot display it or something like that.

Stay safe!

Kevin..if you are reading any of this....I thank you. I wished things were different.

Stock Picks and Trading · Picks and Pans Since Jan 2020
sandjco
msg #151360
3/22/2020 9:53:55 AM

The meltdown continues...






So far, for the whole month...strength has been used to get out of positions by the looks of it.


Oil..


Gold...


Bitcoin...


Financials...


TLT...


US now has 81 cases/1M pop vs China's 56/1M.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
- NY is the hardest hit. Will they close the Exchange to practice "social distancing"?
- Rates cut; liquidity pumped
- School's out...online! (interesting how this will maybe change the way education is delivered)
- Remote work from home in vogue! (hmmm...will make employers aware that...)
- Airlines getting bailed by the gov't....
- Layoffs happening
- TB12 to Tampa!
- Kenny Rogers RIP at 81

Meanwhile...interesting....In Essex.... getting arrested for stolen Toilet Paper...smh TP? So, when this is over..should I expect a line of ppl returning TP at Costco?


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