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General Discussion · BA
msg #150314
1/14/2020 8:47:26 AM

Buffet prolly thinks BA is cheap for a few reasons:
#1 - A year ago the high was around $446
#2 - It's been flat @ around $336 since the calamities
#3 - Had the accidents not happened, BA would prolly be $550

So, he's buying at a $220 discount.
However, BA's earnings are coming out at the end of the month.
Personally, I learned my lesson.
BA was in my portfolio, & in retrospect, it was a mistake.
I'll never buy anything that can crash (landing).

General Discussion · BA
msg #150301
1/13/2020 7:50:38 PM

"Boeing faces fine for 737 Max plane 'designed by clowns'"

"designed by clowns"???
That's bad!
tsk, tsk ...

General Discussion · * GRIPE *
msg #150292
1/13/2020 10:06:13 AM


"10 EMA /w SPX, adding 12 or 13 DMA for signal"

General Discussion · * GRIPE *
msg #150285
1/12/2020 6:25:57 PM

@ Cheese,
Re: Do I remember "Marlyn"?
Only a vague recollection ... eventho' I found a post of mine after he vacated his blog --
7,388 posts
msg #53927 8/9/2007 8:00:09 AM
all of a sudden he stopped posting ... "I'm outta here" ...
any idea Y he stopped?

As of TODAY, 01/12/2020 ...
Yes, I've got an idea.
He abandoned his blog, just like peeps disappear from SF.
GAMBLING is not a cool way to make a living unless you're really good at it --
and most people are not.

BTW, I briefly glanced at one of his filters.
It's a hybrid GUPPY filter.

General Discussion · * GRIPE *
msg #150279
1/12/2020 9:06:16 AM

Scrolll down and look at the comment underneath the 2-year treasury yield chart ...
"Is that why they pumping so hard now. We about to go over the edge ..."
Also, Larew said something interesting ....
Basically, when there's a market bubble and the shorts come in, there's no support for declining prices.
THIS is exactly what happened to me in 2018 when I was just holding.
So frustrating! My stocks were NOT going up because the shorts had been in long before October 2018.

General Discussion · * GRIPE *
msg #150278
1/12/2020 8:18:01 AM

Sad news for BA ... (one of the stocks in the portfolio I buried last year.)

General Discussion · * GRIPE *
msg #150277
1/12/2020 8:16:43 AM

@ Cheese,
Sorry! It wasn't rabbithole.
Here's the link with the SPX chart.
This is actually a link you posted above.
I guess, basically he's saying just hold SPX all you're life and you'll never lose.
Looking at the chart, that's correct.
I thought he meant hold stocks .... and we all know, not all stocks go up forever.

General Discussion · * GRIPE *
msg #150266
1/11/2020 1:22:39 PM

@ CHeese,
From one of the RabbitHole articles:
"Equities… just stay in and prosper! No problem in real time because the US stock market always comes back… ALWAYS. This is the kind of stuff that appears near tops; like stuff that uses ultra long-term yearly charts in log scale to smooth out the problems.
So the next time this happens, try to forget that it was caused by epic policy distortions within the system the likes of which have been amped up exponentially since and just remember it’s actually a smooth ride assuming the next thing is like the last thing and you live long enough to reap the benefits."

Is he kidding??? I can't tell if he's serious or facetious.
I had plenty of stocks that did NOT have a "smooth ride" the next 20 years and did NOT "reap the benefits".
RMBS (Rambus) @ $600
DNDN @ $200 (cure for cancer? THAT was a bunch of $#*+)
MSTR @ $600
YHOO @ $60
INTC @ $90 - (In 2000, I told a friend I was "set for life". NOT!)
CSCO @ $100 - (Ditto .. NOT!)
AMBA @ $100
CLVS @ $90

Reap the benefits of a "smooth ride"?
It's been a slow bumpy ride straight to hell!

General Discussion · * GRIPE *
msg #150264
1/11/2020 11:45:30 AM

@ Cheese,
Reading this ....
Looking at the gold stock charts, I wonder what happened in May/June to make gold go up so fast.
Any ideas???

General Discussion · * GRIPE *
msg #150262
1/11/2020 10:16:42 AM

@ Cheese,
Reading Slopofhope now .... (quote):
"However, I would like to point out that Becky was not bragging about this allocation at any time during the past decade. No, she has chosen December 2019 with the S&P 500 up more than 360% since the bottom to let us know about her over-allocation. Herein lies my point. Just like this summer when bonds had already ripped 13 handles higher, market participants usually express this sort of arrogance at points when they feel confident. Extremely confident."
THIS IS EXACTLY what I was talking about regarding Liz Sonders' comment ...
"we're in a bear market" -
Thanks for letting us know Captain Genius - 30 days before it's over.

So, everyone's watching TV and sells at the bottom -- or buys at the top.
Real tricky. (eyeroll).

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