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| General Discussion · Daily Short Interest data | |
| guspenskiy13 msg #123294 |
3/21/2015 3:01:34 PM As far as I know both NYSE and NASDAQ present short interest data twice a month...with a delay of two weeks I believe... While it is certainly something to look at; it also seems interesting to watch percent of shorts to the float on a daily basis.... I have been searching around and did not find much....maybe someone can suggest or elaborate on this topic... What I have found: 1) http://shortanalytics.com/ Nice little web-site with short-interest data dating up to late 2011 and an interactive price/short interest chart. Unfortunately, it only uses BATS data; therefore the statistics are not 100% accurate...(for past friday it shows 66kk for SPY while in reality it is 177kk) 2) http://www.shortvolume.com/ This web-site presents the data in a chart with maximum look-back of around 4 years as well. While I liked it less than shortanalytics; it uses data that was reported by Nas/NYSE/OTC to FINRA - therefore I assume it should add to the existing data from BATS (shortanalytics). _______________________________________________________________________________________________ And this is all what is available on the web right now - exchanges are required to report daily volumes by SEC, but unfortunately (on purpose?) it is done in a *.txt format with 3000 pages a day worth of trades - complete lack of structure. So if someone could help on the topic of the daily short interest data - that would be great. |
| Stock Picks and Trading · Intraday Alerts | |
| guspenskiy13 msg #123247 modified |
3/18/2015 11:06:51 AM Recent developments in SPX are no good.... I have been in XIV since mid-December quick sell-off, saw ups and downs but hesitated to take any action about it in fears that it will just run away as I pull money out; wanted it to be a long play. I was thinking of taking it out in late April or May, since seasonally it's a strong time. What are you guys thinking? |
| Stock Picks and Trading · Mactheriverrat predictions. | |
| guspenskiy13 msg #123246 |
3/18/2015 10:57:09 AM It makes a bit more sense to focus on un-leveraged regular ETF (RSX) instead of triple-bear RUSS? P.S. Russia does not correlate with crude that hard anymore...there could be potential going into next 1-1.5 years if sanctions get lift off and pressure lifts off Ukraine... |
| Stock Picks and Trading · Intraday Alerts | |
| guspenskiy13 msg #122861 |
2/16/2015 7:52:28 PM Eman, strong reasoning - but all good things are coming to an end. Do you think it's overbought and hyped up? I've read somewhere that a good time to sell the market is when even the most passive/pessimistic investors are pouring the money in.....Apple was the most popular stock in 2014 already....it's hyped up and pumped by buy-backs... I'm still on side-lines....here are just some fun technical facts: 1) $130 is 161.8 for the 50% pull-back and other minor pull-back. 2) Difference from ema(200) at the 2-year resistance which resulted in at least 5% pull-back during past five occurences. 3) 2-year LRC 1SD boundary is even closer than in late November. moar: 1) Short interest 03/31/2014: 155 mil. Short Interest 1/30/2015: 59 mil. Talk about a short-squeeze. It actually grew for the first time in the first half of January only to get squeezed again.. 2) P/C ratio... $115 will be an entertaining level. 3) Goldman is selling...lol...little more than 27 million shares all-together...for the past quarter P.S. Selling Apple naked...idk..for now.....selling Apple/buying S&P....seems reasonable. |
| Stock Picks and Trading · Intraday Alerts | |
| guspenskiy13 msg #122824 modified |
2/12/2015 3:46:16 PM short the apple? or not yet? short the apple and long spy? some beta arbitrage... the odds for apple to have 5 up days in a row are ....2.7027% the odds for apple to have 5 up weeks in a row are ....3.6% |
| Stock Picks and Trading · Intraday Alerts | |
| guspenskiy13 msg #122809 |
2/11/2015 4:44:27 PM Icahn clearly didn't see this graph  |
| Stock Picks and Trading · Intraday Alerts | |
| guspenskiy13 msg #122807 modified |
2/11/2015 4:19:22 PM RUT...late February to April is the second highest probability seasonal period...given the recent under-performance under strong resistance......hmm 
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| Stock Picks and Trading · Intraday Alerts | |
| guspenskiy13 msg #122772 |
2/6/2015 2:57:25 PM I am concerned with the today's VIX movement vs. S&P. Just way above the average. |
| Stock Picks and Trading · Intraday Alerts | |
| guspenskiy13 msg #122719 modified |
2/2/2015 11:16:49 AM Just a funny post...smallcaps...march-december  |
| Stock Picks and Trading · Intraday Alerts | |
| guspenskiy13 msg #122673 |
1/29/2015 12:00:19 PM "We are in a shitty situation right now. ~4.8% range with clear support and resistance. If today won't fill...that might be a breakaway" Someone should ran some stats on the consecutive S&P performance after a gap down near/below previous sessions low. The odds might be significant |
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