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General Discussion · Hi CHeese,
davesaint86
msg #153232
7/21/2020 10:54:18 AM

Using this filter, which has some elements of Joanne Klein's (Slo Sto 5.1) help me determine where to buy on the dip.

Fetcher[apply to symlist(wiz,snug,qld,tmf)

DRAW FIBONACCI UP(65)
DRAW FIBONACCI DOWN(65)

set{E15, ema(3) - ma(6)}
set{15Longposition, count(E15 > 0,1)}
set{15Shortposition, count(E15 < 0,1)}
draw 15Longposition on plot
draw 15shortposition on plot

set{E9, close above T3(5,0.7)}
set{DLongposition, count(E9 > 0,1)}
set{DShortposition, count(E9 < 0,1)}
SET{DTRIGGER,0}




Set{ADR15, ATR(20) * 1.5}
Set{ADR25, ATR(20) * 2.5}
Set{ADR35, ATR(20) * 3.5}
Set{ADR45, ATR(20) * 4.5}
Set{ADR55, ATR(20) * 5.5}

Set{ATR1, high 10 day high - ADR15}
Set{ATR2, high 10 day high - ADR25}
Set{ATR3, high 10 day high - ADR35}
Set{ATR4, high 10 day high - ADR45}
Set{ATR5, high 10 day high - ADR55}
Set{Buy1, high 10 day high - ADR15}
Set{Buy2, high 10 day high - ADR25}
Set{Buy3, high 10 day high - ADR35}
Set{Buy4, high 10 day high - ADR45}
Set{Buy5, high 10 day high - ADR55}


Set{ATR6, low 10 day low + ADR15}
Set{ATR7, low 10 day low + ADR25}
Set{ATR8, low 10 day low + ADR35}
Set{ATR9, low 10 day low + ADR45}
Set{ATR10, low 10 day low + ADR55}
Set{Sell1, low 10 day low + ADR15}
Set{Sell2, low 10 day low + ADR25}
Set{Sell3, low 10 day low + ADR35}
Set{Sell4, low 10 day low + ADR45}
Set{Sell5, low 10 day low + ADR55}


draw macd(2,3,1)
and draw Slow Stochastic(5,1) Fast %K line at 20.00 and draw Slow Stochastic(5,1) Fast %K line at 80.00
and draw Slow Stochastic(5,1) Fast %K line at 50.00
set{RSI9, RSI(9) - 50}
set{CRSI_Bar, RSI9}
draw CRSI_Bar
PlotType{CRSI_Bar,zerobar}
set{RSI4, RSI(4) - 50}
set{RSI4_line, RSI4}
draw RSI4 on plot CRSI_Bar
set{RSI2, RSI(2) - 50}
set{RSI2_line, RSI2}
draw RSI2 on plot CRSI_Bar
and add column separator
add column T3(5,0.7)
and add column separator
add column 15Longposition {3/6}
and add column separator
add column DLongposition {T3}
and add column separator
add column low 10 day low {10d-L}
and add column separator
and add column MA(5)
and add column separator
and add column Sell5
and add column separator
and add column Sell4
and add column separator
and add column Sell3
and add column separator
and add column Sell2
and add column separator
and add column Sell1
and add column separator
add column high 10 day high {10d-H}
add column separator
and add column Buy1
and add column separator
and add column Buy2
and add column separator
and add column Buy3
and add column separator
and add column Buy4
and add column separator
and add column Buy5
and add column separator




add column MA(150)
add column separator

and add column atr(20) {ATR}
and add column separator
and add column average day range(20) {ADR}
and add column separator
add column RSI(2) {RSI2-T}
add column separator
add column RSI(2) 1 day ago {RSI2-1}
add column separator
add column RSI(2) 2 days ago {RSI2-2}
add column separator
add column RSI(2) 3 days ago {RSI2-3}
add column separator
add column RSI(2) 4 days ago {RSI2-4}
add column separator
add column RSI(2) 5 days ago {RSI2-5}
add column separator
add column RSI(2) 6 days ago {RSI2-6}
add column separator
add column RSI(2) 7 days ago {RSI2-7}
add column separator
and draw average volume(90)
draw ema(3)
draw ma(6)
draw T3(5,0.7)
do not draw MA(150)
do not draw MA(50)
do not draw MA(200)
and do not draw MA(10)
and do not draw MA(20)
draw rsi(2) line at 25 and draw rsi(2) line at 70

draw weekly ma(21)
SORT COLUMN 10 DESCENDING
chart-time is 120 days
]



Filter Exchange · Cheese, I'd like to more of thoughts on WIZ
davesaint86
msg #153231
7/21/2020 10:44:52 AM

https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/test-market-timing-model?s=y&coreSatellite=false&timingModel=9&startYear=1985&endYear=2020&includeYTD=true&initialAmount=50000&periodicAdjustment=0&adjustmentAmount=0&inflationAdjusted=true&adjustmentPercentage=0.0&adjustmentFrequency=4&symbols=QLD%2CTMF&singleAbsoluteMomentum=false&volatilityTarget=9.0&downsideVolatility=false&outOfMarketStartMonth=5&outOfMarketEndMonth=10&outOfMarketAssetType=1&movingAverageSignal=1&movingAverageType=1&multipleTimingPeriods=false&periodWeighting=1&windowSize=1&windowSizeInDays=105&movingAverageType2=1&windowSize2=10&windowSizeInDays2=105&excludePreviousMonth=false&normalizeReturns=false&volatilityWindowSize=-1&volatilityWindowSizeInDays=20&assetsToHold=2&allocationWeights=4&riskControl=false&riskWindowSize=10&riskWindowSizeInDays=0&rebalancePeriod=1&separateSignalAsset=false&tradeExecution=0&comparedAllocation=-1&benchmark=-1&benchmarkSymbol=SPY&timingPeriods%5B0%5D=5&timingUnits%5B0%5D=2&timingWeights%5B0%5D=100&timingUnits%5B1%5D=2&timingWeights%5B1%5D=0&timingUnits%5B2%5D=2&timingWeights%5B2%5D=0&timingUnits%5B3%5D=2&timingWeights%5B3%5D=0&timingUnits%5B4%5D=2&timingWeights%5B4%5D=0&volatilityPeriodUnit=1&volatilityPeriodWeight=0

General Discussion · Hi CHeese,
davesaint86
msg #153230
7/21/2020 10:40:20 AM

Sold all of my WIZ yesterday afternoon at $29.96. Wanted to lock in the 4% + one week gain.

Filter Exchange · Cheese, I'd like to more of thoughts on WIZ
davesaint86
msg #153229
7/21/2020 10:36:22 AM

Sold all of my WIZ. I wanted to lock in the 4% + gains for the week. Sold at $29.96 yesterday afternoon.

Filter Exchange · Cheese, I'd like to more of thoughts on WIZ
davesaint86
msg #153217
7/20/2020 1:20:40 PM

Merlyn AI is in the process of adding a black swan trigger to WIZ.

Filter Exchange · Cheese, I'd like to more of thoughts on WIZ
davesaint86
msg #153211
7/19/2020 8:53:21 PM

The big con right now is that the volume on most days has been low. I still have made money and have been able to take profits. WIZ does seem to be slowing gaining in popularity. Also, remember you can still use the charts to buy and sell WIZ and or SNUG if one doesn't want to buy and hold.

Filter Exchange · Cheese, I'd like to more of thoughts on WIZ
davesaint86
msg #153210
7/19/2020 8:49:16 PM

Current holdings of WIZ minus SPY and WIZ

Fetcher[/* https://www.stockfetcher.com/forums/General-Discussion/ETF-Ladder-Results-so-far/152574 */
/* https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/WIZ?p=WIZ&.tsrc=fin-srch */

/* https://www.stockfetcher.com/forums/Filter-Exchange/Cheese-I-d-like-to-more-of-thoughts-on-WIZ/153175 */


SYMLIST(vgt,ibuy,SCHG,QQQ,MGK,IWY,SCHR,VGIT,SPY,wiz) /* WIZ porfolio a of 2020 07 16 */


/* RATE OF RETURN */
set {rateor1, close - close 28 days ago}
set {rateor2, rateor1 / close}
set {rateor, rateor2 * 100}

/* RELATIVE STRENGTH */
set {rs1, relative strength(^INX,28)} /* S&P 500 Index */
set {rs2, relative strength(^DJIA,28)} /* Dow Jones Industrial Average */
set {rs3, relative strength(^RUI,28)} /* Russell 1000 */
set {rs4, relative strength(^IXIC,28)} /* NASDAQ Composite */
set {rsavg1, rs1 + rs2}
set {rsavg2, rs3 + rs4}
set {rsavg3, rsavg1 + rsavg2}
set {rsavg, rsavg3 / 4}

/* SHARPE RATIO (the higher the ratio the riskier the investment) */
set {srclose, close 28 days ago}
set {srreturn, close - srclose}
set {srpercent, srreturn / srclose}
set {rfreturn, 0.0015417}
set {srperf, srpercent - rfreturn}
set {etfstdev, cstddev(close,28)}
set {etfvol, etfstdev / ma(28)}
set {sharpe, srperf / etfvol}

/* ADD THEM UP */
set {score1, rateor + rsavg}
set {score2, score1 + sharpe}
set {score, score2 / 3}

close is > 5

draw ema(21)
draw ema(63)
draw NVI on plot NVI
draw PVI on plot NVI

add column separator
add column rateor1 {change}
add column rateor {ror}
add column rsavg {rel str}
add column sharpe
add column score
sort column 10 descending
chart-display is weekly
]



Filter Exchange · Cheese, I'd like to more of thoughts on WIZ
davesaint86
msg #153209
7/19/2020 8:45:52 PM

Current Allocations for WIZ

At the bottom of the page are the current holdings and allocations for WIZ.

https://merlynetfs.com/wiz/#performance



Filter Exchange · Cheese, I'd like to more of thoughts on WIZ
davesaint86
msg #153208
7/19/2020 8:40:39 PM

I just saw this post about WIZ.

https://www.meetup.com/SectorSurfers/?_xtd=gatlbWFpbF9jbGlja9oAJDM4MWZjOGJjLWNjMzgtNDYyMC1iNDNkLWUwZTBlNjE0NDc4Mg

There is a meetup Wednesday night. https://www.meetup.com/SectorSurfers/events/271446422/

https://maiindexes.com/bull-rider-bear-fighter

There are actually two ETFs. WIZ and SNUG.

WIZ - In a bull market WIZ is comprised of 80% Equity ETFs and 20% Bond ETFs. During Bear Markets the allocations can go to 100% bonds or Gold for example. Backtesting, including 2008 shows 22% CAGR. Remember this is just buying and holding WiZ.

SNUG - In a bull market SNUG is comprise of 70% Bond ETFs nd 30% Equity ETFs. Backtesting, including 2008 shows 13% just buying and holding. This is a new ETF and the volume is pretty low right now.

One can buy a mix of the two based on risk tolerance. It is my understanding that the ETFs selected at the end of each month come from a universe of 500 ETFs. The ETFs selection are based on momentum by category and whatever AI method that they use to make the selections. There is a lot of good information here - https://maiindexes.com/bull-rider-bear-fighter. The whole premise of WIZ and SNUG is that the work is done for you. Technically all you have to do is buy and hold. What I like about the two is that it makes sense to hold them in taxable accounts especially.


General Discussion · Hi CHeese,
davesaint86
msg #153115
7/15/2020 9:40:51 AM

Sold rest of my WIZ in my two taxable accounts at $29.91 Friday . Bought 33% back in yesterday at $28.72 and $28.59. Hope to sell at the upper Bollinger band which is around $29.95 as of right now. Options expiration on Friday.

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