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General Discussion · Abnormal Activity filters
Muddy
msg #49635
modified
1/27/2007 10:02:16 PM

"The most powerful filters available on the Stockscores Market Scan are the Abnormal Activity filters, both for price change and volume."

"We believe that beating the market requires that you play stocks that are in play and that strong, money making trends start with abnormal activity."

"I looked at the charts to see how many of these strong up trends started with a day of abnormal price gain and abnormal volume. There had to be a burst of activity out of a period of relative quiet trading."

"When you see abnormal trading activity out of a period of quiet trading, a sign that the market is surprised by the change, you have a good trading opportunity."

"To focus on the stocks that are breaking from low price volatility."

"I still focus on stocks that are behaving abnormally just as I did 17 years ago"
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WOW, Deja Vu all over again! Over 2 years ago:

wallman(Muddy)

10/27/2004 8:21:57 PM

Dick,IF you're talking about its break on 9-21,i've said this a few times here, you DO NOT need a filter to pick these up,all you need is a site such as i use ,www.smallcapcenter.com,punch in abnormal vol increase (in this case a nothing vol stock to 120k) and abnormal price increase.

Almost 3 years ago:

wallman
3/10/2004 7:46:47 PM

ZUB,any thoughts on DCTH, looks like a ubb runner,i caught it at 1.94 on a break from the bb squeeze on monster volume increase,just as i did on 1 - 7 under the exact same circumstances,in fact RSI 2 in both cases was the same at 67 before the break and now into the 90's which usually indicates a few days more run.

3/11/2004 1:09:29 PM

WOW ... Wallman!!!

Talk About Monster Volume... your DCTH is 88 times avg Vol, and it's only 1 PM.

Looove them squeezes!!!

travlr

PS... Thanks again for the smallcapcenter info you gave me the other day.
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Hmmmmmm, These stocks sound kinda familiar to me.

Now, let me move to the Nasdaq market. Here are the top performers:

FORG
ONSM
MEMY
ARTX
MAMA
HAYZ
TRCR
PNCL
FRPT


General Discussion · Squeeze 'em by the "BOLLs"
Muddy
msg #49540
1/25/2007 6:43:50 AM

"To find a breakout, would I simply look for a close above the upper BB and a surge in volume?"

I run a filter to show stocks that have gained more than 8% in the last day.
I run a filter to show stocks that have increased their average volume(90) by 300% in the last day.

You should read this also from: http://greenonthescreen.blogspot.com/index.html
Tuesday, December 5, 2006
FINDING UBB ZONE (EMA13/SMA20) PULLBACKS

IMO after many years of trading one of the best "filters" ever.
See NTMD chart for example,sq/vol/break 1/12,hit zone 1/22 at 2.66,closed yesterday at 3.22
Some folks use EMA5 also to catch a "flag" pattern.


General Discussion · Squeeze 'em by the "BOLLs"
Muddy
msg #49504
1/24/2007 2:01:40 PM

Petro,
Very good comments.

Glad I don't have that problem with that stupid daytrading rule.

From the live chat today regarding CNLG
(Jan 24-12:44) TraderJJ: i had some at 2.05, none from under 2 darn
(Jan 24-12:45) Muddy: mine was 2.50

Right now it's at 4.38 !!


General Discussion · Squeeze 'em by the "BOLLs"
Muddy
msg #49498
1/24/2007 10:56:19 AM

EGHT SCRA trying for double digits at the moment :)




General Discussion · Squeeze 'em by the "BOLLs"
Muddy
msg #49492
1/23/2007 10:14:51 PM

Petro,

You've got some real nice "go on greens" that come up on your 2 filters for tomorrow when I add: day range(10)is above 5

The likes of DSTI SKNN MOVI ONSM MKTY SCRA MEMY MNG PACT BMD GMST EEE DPTR JRCC EGHT CHB OSTK ARTX NFLD ONT

I trade these guys off various methods anyway so I'll be watching.


General Discussion · Squeeze 'em by the "BOLLs"
Muddy
msg #49435
1/21/2007 1:46:42 PM

Why i don't mind giving up a nice percentage gain to catch them after the breakout.
This from a post almost 3 years ago:

wallman (Muddy)

4/15/2004 11:56:56 AM

note ABIX today which broke out 4-12 on an unreal volume increase of 4500 shares to 746k,yesterday the price pulled back to the EMA13,the stock has maintained its large volume surge over the past few days and today right now it is up about 110% with over 7 million shares traded!,i wouldn't doubt that it will run even further by late afternoon

And a reply:

cegis

4/15/2004 3:58:24 PM

wallman,

Thanks for your insights...

And you were right on ABIX running this afternoon! Up +206+% as I write this (7 min before market close)... Hope you got some of that booty!!!!


General Discussion · Squeeze 'em by the "BOLLs"
Muddy
msg #49434
1/21/2007 12:59:32 PM

This from:
http://www.bollingeronbollingerbands.com/methods/

"Now, for Method I. Years ago the late Bruce Babcock of Commodity Traders Consumers Review interviewed me for that publication. After the interview we chatted for a while--the interviewing gradually reversed--and it came out that his favorite commodity trading approach was the volatility breakout. I could hardly believe my ears. Here is the fellow who had examined more trading systems--and done so rigorously--than anyone with the possible exception of John Hill of Futures Truth and he was saying that his approach of choice to trading was the volatility-breakout system? The very approach that I thought best for trading after a lot of investigation?"

Just what I've been saying for years.

Also this:
"Perhaps the most elegant direct application of Bollinger Bands is a volatility breakout system."
Our version of the venerable volatility breakout system utilizes BandWidth to set the precondition and then takes a position when a breakout occurs."

And what i've always STRONGLY believed:
"Most often this will occur within the bands and you won't get a breakout signal until after the real move is under way."
Note the word "AFTER"

Look at a 3 month chart of LTS,it's the "hot" stock on the message boards NOW.
But myself and the few others I trade with picked it up on 1/8 when it broke the "squeeze" on HUGE volume and white candle being pierced by the UBB.
Factors I've mentioned for years here on the forums.

I'd hate to see this thread die but with ALL DUE RESPECT the last 2 filters posted here show no squeeze in progress on almost all the matches it picks up.
I charted 4 stocks I know from both filters.
From the first ESLR WTSLA ENER DPTR,the second CPST MOT XTO CDE(bands way wide on this?)
The few that are semi-squeezes you'll maybe wait weeks for a validation of a squeeze/break IF EVER.
IMO,Such a waste of time and effort tracking these when you can find ones(and do your DD)the night of the squeeze/break.

Why not get the patterns of a REAL squeeze and wait for the first breakout to occur?




General Discussion · Day traders May I ask you?
Muddy
msg #49372
1/18/2007 11:33:53 PM

Tulanch,

You're very welcome.

If you look you'll see my HOKU post was 41 minutes before the open.
I got it from pre market volume % scan.
Also VEGF which I posted before the open to the chatroom:
(Jan 18-09:29) Muddy: VEGF mil shrs
(Jan 18-09:29) Muddy: of course HOKU
VEGF opened at .54/.55 and about 50 minutes before close hit .75

Yesterday there was STSI from pre % vol:
(Jan 17-09:35) Muddy: STST at 4
(Jan 17-09:35) Muddy: STSI*
In at a little over $4 cross,it ran to 5.33 hod,stopped myself out with 25%.
Also in the first half hour I got DSTI,my top fastk 2<5 watch that was rolling on the HOD list with vol spikes:
(Jan 17-09:51) Muddy: DSTI hod 2.79 fastk

So now in the last 2 days I've banked STSI 24% DSTI 19% HOKU 25% VEGF 30%
All trades were opened within the first half hour.

I agree 100% with TRO,Luc,Juha on trading in the first hour.

To these:
Average % of portfolio in a trade? ....depends on how well i know the stock, usually between 5-15%
Hard stops or mental stops?.... always mental
Set profit % or let run with trailing out strategy?... i never set a target,i trail them up.
Do you follow the no trading rule during first 1/2 hour and last 1/2 hour? ... I buy anytime except the last hour.
Do you prefer day trading options vs. stocks?.... Stocks only

I also swing trade with a 3-4% stop and will trail those up with the same.
In XING from Tues at 14,a 10 x's vol increase from previous day.


General Discussion · Day traders May I ask you?
Muddy
msg #49363
1/18/2007 12:51:22 PM

6.60 now

This ain't rocket science



General Discussion · Day traders May I ask you?
Muddy
msg #49360
1/18/2007 12:10:04 PM

HOKU is RIPPING IT


6.25 as of the moment


Luc,whatever works for you is great.
I play even less per stock than you do probably;
Agree about about the 200,000 plus shrs a day.


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