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Stock Picks and Trading · Intraday Alerts
15minofPham
msg #148072
6/6/2019 10:33:56 PM

Can't believe JP is calling it a day. Another longtime SF riding into the filter sunset. Have a great one JP! Then there were...

Stock Picks and Trading · Follow The Money (Options)
15minofPham
msg #146385
2/2/2019 12:50:22 AM

There's unusual options volume and there's UNUSUAL options volume. A trader yesterday bought 16,200 DBX Jan 2020 60 Calls for .20. A head scratcher is that it closed at $24.71 yesterday which means this trader thinks it's going to go up 2.5x in 11 months. Another 1760 was bought today bringing the Open Interest to 17,276. Does he/she know something, like a buyout? Hmmm...



General Discussion · BEHOLD THE HOLY GRAIL
15minofPham
msg #145797
12/31/2018 1:26:03 PM

KSK8 style & temperament reminds me of Wallstreetgenius. Now only if the Rumpled One comes back to debate, then we can party like it's 2008!

Stock Picks and Trading · Intraday Alerts
15minofPham
msg #145774
12/30/2018 2:28:15 PM

JohnPaulCA,
Happy 10th anniversary of this thread! I'm amazed that a thread has survived for a decade in an age where short attention span rule. Here's to another decade!

Tuan

General Discussion · Confluence filter
15minofPham
msg #144468
8/21/2018 8:58:58 PM

Hi Mahkoh,
It might have to do with your browser security settings. Mine says site is not secured. It's a great site with the best support/resistance that I've seen. He uses confluence to determine the levels of r/s. He offers stock screens but maddingly, no confluence screens.

HTH

General Discussion · Confluence filter
15minofPham
msg #144447
8/20/2018 3:40:11 PM

I'm thinking it's not possible with SF syntax as I don't see a confluence filter. Wonder if there's a way to write a filter where a stock is at a support/resistance at least twice within X days and near or on a moving average(s). stockta.com is a great site to see major support/resistance. The higher the confluence number, the stronger it is. The only problem is that they don't offer a screener for such.

TIA

General Discussion · Options .. option payoff diagram generator
15minofPham
msg #143387
4/28/2018 10:52:46 PM

Four is SF Google. Keep posting great articles!

Stock Picks and Trading · Follow The Money (Options)
15minofPham
msg #142773
3/15/2018 11:21:05 PM

I'll be busy packing for the upcoming move to another state so I will no longer have time to continue this thread. I think most of you get the idea that following the smart money is very profitable during a market's uptrend. During a choppy trend such as what we're experiencing now, you'll need to pick your spots. Wait for a pullback and sell at resistance and take your profits quickly!

I hope you've enjoyed reading this the past two and a half months and thank you for participating. I'll go back to lurking like I did the previous nine & a half years.

Stock Picks and Trading · Follow The Money (Options)
15minofPham
msg #142772
3/15/2018 11:02:34 PM

Looks like you may have guessed right Lavapit.

Stock Picks and Trading · Follow The Money (Options)
15minofPham
msg #142764
3/15/2018 1:36:47 AM

Follow the Money Play of the Day - IWM

Premium of $2.5 million on 5,000 of the 9/21/18 $150 Put for $5.07 with ETF at $158.06. A very bearish play for almost the rest of the year. Breakeven of $144.93 is 8.1% away from today's closing price of $157.71. This could very well be a hedge, but interesting to see this far out of the money. This is a dangerous play since one bullish month will have the put at the -50% stop loss. Total option volume Put/Call ratio was 71-39 and bullish order sentiment was 36% which is right in line with its 30-day average of 38%.

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Tuesday's spotlight - TNTR, $682,500, 19,500 4/20/18 $2.50 Put for $0.35, Stock $4.38

Fell -12.18% but since Put is so far out of the money, it's actually at -28.57%
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Portfolio picked up two more wins today with STZ 7/20/18 220 Call and IWM 9/21/18 161 Call. The former fell back to +50% so it was sold. The latter opened at $6.24 which made the Call fell below +50% so it was closed for +48.22% profit. February's winning pct is at 64.71% and portfolio is back above 60%, not too bad considering how the market has been consistently faded over the past six weeks.

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The purpose of this paper trading portfolio is to find out if following the big money plays, aka smart money is truly smart.

Rules:
1) Picks are based on one big purchase or multiples of purchases adding to a large premium
2) Prices are end of day except if below event occurs intraday
3) Gain: Sell at +100%. The purpose is to see how many plays can double. If price climbs above 50 & 75 pct target then threaten to fall below intraday, then sell kicks in. Example: X stock started the day at +93% but then falls to +75% intraday, stock would be sold at +75%
4) Loss: Sell at -50%
5) Sell before earnings

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