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Stock Picks and Trading · Intraday Alerts
msg #148072
6/6/2019 10:33:56 PM

Can't believe JP is calling it a day. Another longtime SF riding into the filter sunset. Have a great one JP! Then there were...

Stock Picks and Trading · Follow The Money (Options)
msg #146385
2/2/2019 12:50:22 AM

There's unusual options volume and there's UNUSUAL options volume. A trader yesterday bought 16,200 DBX Jan 2020 60 Calls for .20. A head scratcher is that it closed at $24.71 yesterday which means this trader thinks it's going to go up 2.5x in 11 months. Another 1760 was bought today bringing the Open Interest to 17,276. Does he/she know something, like a buyout? Hmmm...

General Discussion · BEHOLD THE HOLY GRAIL
msg #145797
12/31/2018 1:26:03 PM

KSK8 style & temperament reminds me of Wallstreetgenius. Now only if the Rumpled One comes back to debate, then we can party like it's 2008!

Stock Picks and Trading · Intraday Alerts
msg #145774
12/30/2018 2:28:15 PM

Happy 10th anniversary of this thread! I'm amazed that a thread has survived for a decade in an age where short attention span rule. Here's to another decade!


General Discussion · Confluence filter
msg #144468
8/21/2018 8:58:58 PM

Hi Mahkoh,
It might have to do with your browser security settings. Mine says site is not secured. It's a great site with the best support/resistance that I've seen. He uses confluence to determine the levels of r/s. He offers stock screens but maddingly, no confluence screens.


General Discussion · Confluence filter
msg #144447
8/20/2018 3:40:11 PM

I'm thinking it's not possible with SF syntax as I don't see a confluence filter. Wonder if there's a way to write a filter where a stock is at a support/resistance at least twice within X days and near or on a moving average(s). is a great site to see major support/resistance. The higher the confluence number, the stronger it is. The only problem is that they don't offer a screener for such.


General Discussion · Options .. option payoff diagram generator
msg #143387
4/28/2018 10:52:46 PM

Four is SF Google. Keep posting great articles!

Stock Picks and Trading · Follow The Money (Options)
msg #142773
3/15/2018 11:21:05 PM

I'll be busy packing for the upcoming move to another state so I will no longer have time to continue this thread. I think most of you get the idea that following the smart money is very profitable during a market's uptrend. During a choppy trend such as what we're experiencing now, you'll need to pick your spots. Wait for a pullback and sell at resistance and take your profits quickly!

I hope you've enjoyed reading this the past two and a half months and thank you for participating. I'll go back to lurking like I did the previous nine & a half years.

Stock Picks and Trading · Follow The Money (Options)
msg #142772
3/15/2018 11:02:34 PM

Looks like you may have guessed right Lavapit.

Stock Picks and Trading · Follow The Money (Options)
msg #142764
3/15/2018 1:36:47 AM

Follow the Money Play of the Day - IWM

Premium of $2.5 million on 5,000 of the 9/21/18 $150 Put for $5.07 with ETF at $158.06. A very bearish play for almost the rest of the year. Breakeven of $144.93 is 8.1% away from today's closing price of $157.71. This could very well be a hedge, but interesting to see this far out of the money. This is a dangerous play since one bullish month will have the put at the -50% stop loss. Total option volume Put/Call ratio was 71-39 and bullish order sentiment was 36% which is right in line with its 30-day average of 38%.


Tuesday's spotlight - TNTR, $682,500, 19,500 4/20/18 $2.50 Put for $0.35, Stock $4.38

Fell -12.18% but since Put is so far out of the money, it's actually at -28.57%

Portfolio picked up two more wins today with STZ 7/20/18 220 Call and IWM 9/21/18 161 Call. The former fell back to +50% so it was sold. The latter opened at $6.24 which made the Call fell below +50% so it was closed for +48.22% profit. February's winning pct is at 64.71% and portfolio is back above 60%, not too bad considering how the market has been consistently faded over the past six weeks.

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The purpose of this paper trading portfolio is to find out if following the big money plays, aka smart money is truly smart.

1) Picks are based on one big purchase or multiples of purchases adding to a large premium
2) Prices are end of day except if below event occurs intraday
3) Gain: Sell at +100%. The purpose is to see how many plays can double. If price climbs above 50 & 75 pct target then threaten to fall below intraday, then sell kicks in. Example: X stock started the day at +93% but then falls to +75% intraday, stock would be sold at +75%
4) Loss: Sell at -50%
5) Sell before earnings

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