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KSK8
561 posts
msg #150414
Ignore KSK8
1/19/2020 3:11:30 PM

Now that I'm past 500k (Over 5,000%) in this portfolio I'll go ahead and release the filters I'm currently using, as requested. All of these are 1-day shorts. (Short on open, cover on close)
Note: These filters were used for the most recent plays, the other's before them are from filters I've already posted.

Fetcher[

market is not OTCBB
market is not ETF
volume > 1000000
close > 0.2
close > open

/* Critically Overbought */
day range is above 70%
rsi(2) > 85

/* Not breaking out of historical resistance */
set{x1, high 200-week high}
set{x2, x1 1 day ago}
set{x3, count(close > x2,1)}
x3 < 1

/* Stock has dipped below open at least 1% for X days out of 100 */
set{c1, open - low}
set{c2, c1/open }
set{c3, count(c2 > .01 , 100)}
c3 > 80
]



This one is rather unique, I figured out a method to accurately identify stocks that just endured huge dilution. (Very bearish)

Fetcher[

market is not ETF
market is not OTCBB
close > open
volume > 1000000

set{v52, high volume 52 week high}
set{v52_1, v52 1 day ago}
set{v_1, volume}
set{v_2, v52_1}
set{v_3, v_1-v_2}
set{v_4, v_3/v_2}
set{vdif, v_4*100}

vdif > 1000
shares outstanding > 0
]



This filter is one of my favorites and very reliable. Credit's to Nibor and Xarlor for helping with calculations.
The theory behind this one is that if a stock extends its day range 'engulfing' its historical range, then there's a strong chance of a pullback.

Fetcher[
market is not OTCBB
market is not ETF
volume > 1000000
close > open
rsi(2) > 95

set{13wl,low 30 day low 1 day ago}
set{13wh,high 30 day high 1 day ago}
set{13wr,13wh - 13wl }
set{13wr1, .3*13wr }
set{13wr2, .7*13wr }
set{13wlmin,13wl + 13wr1}
set{13whmin,13wl + 13wr2}
set{DayRange,high - low}
set{PercentDayRange,dayrange / 13wr }

PercentDayRange > .70

set{highst, count(high > 13wh,1)}
set{lowst, count(low < 13wl,1)}
set{lowNGT, count(low less than or equal to 13wlmin ,1)}
set{highNLT, count(high greater than or equal to 13whmin ,1)}
set{hightest,highst * lowngt}
set{lowtest,lowst * highnlt}
set{finaltest,hightest + lowtest}

finaltest > 0
]



This next one is something I accidentally stumbled upon while experimenting. Fantastic results, but beware of the whipsaw.

Fetcher[
market is not OTCBB
market is not ETF
volume > 1000000
close > open

/* A high 2-period Mass Index insinuates an extreme overextension */
set{m1, count(Mass Index(2) > 4,1)}
set{m2, count(rsi(2) > 99,1)}
set{m3, m1*m2}
m3 > 0
]



This one is completely experimental but yields the highest win rate. It's based upon 'float rotation'. The caveat with this one is that it only produces a few per month.

Fetcher[

market is not OTCBB
market is not ETF
volume > 1000000
close > open
rsi(2) > 98

set{so, shares outstanding * 1000000}
set{avgdaysforturnover, so / avgvol}

avgdaysforturnover < 1
avgdaysforturnover > 0

]



I hope those who short sell can find some merit with these. I no longer believe in 'going long' on anything. I feel that strategically short-selling microcap stocks is the best way of capitalizing quickly. This thread stands as proof.

Next stop, 1 million.

KSK8
561 posts
msg #150443
Ignore KSK8
1/21/2020 5:53:25 PM

Shorting these 2 stocks at the open. Allocating 15% of the portfolio into each.

NNVC
ICCC


KSK8
561 posts
msg #150467
Ignore KSK8
1/22/2020 10:14:43 PM

Covered NNVC at 3.82 for a 3% gain

+3%

+$2,492


Covered ICCC at 5.25 for a 2% gain

+2%

+$1,661


Equity: $558,152



KSK8
561 posts
msg #150535
Ignore KSK8
1/27/2020 9:13:36 AM

Allocating 10% of the portfolio into shorting AHPI at the open.

KSK8
561 posts
msg #150545
Ignore KSK8
1/27/2020 5:03:05 PM

Holding overnight.

KSK8
561 posts
msg #150553
Ignore KSK8
1/28/2020 11:07:05 AM

Covered AHPI at 3.24 for a 15% gain

+15%

+$8,372


Equity: $556,524

KSK8
561 posts
msg #159232
Ignore KSK8
6/21/2022 5:14:54 PM

Well it's been a little over 2 years now, and I think I'll revive this thread and pick it up from where it left off.

I have a reduced appetite for risk adversity, so I won't be making any trades. However, the securities I choose to short will be based upon realistic scenarios factoring in liquidity.

To start things off fresh, I'll be shorting these 6 stocks at the open.

REV
CLVS
CEAD
MREO
HCTI
GGE

Allocating 15% of the portfolio into each.

KSK8
561 posts
msg #159233
Ignore KSK8
6/22/2022 6:22:53 PM

83478.6

Covered MREO at the close $1.45 for a 12% gain.

+12%

+$10,017


Holding the others overnight.

KSK8
561 posts
msg #159236
Ignore KSK8
6/24/2022 12:54:34 AM

Covered REV at 7.20 for a 9.88% gain

9.88%

+$8,248


Covered CEAD at 1.20 for a 4.8% gain

+4.8%

+$4,007


Covered HCTI at 1.08 for a 2.7% gain

+2.7%

+$2,254


Holding the remaining positions CLVS and GGE overnight. Will likely cover them tomorrow.

KSK8
561 posts
msg #159239
Ignore KSK8
6/24/2022 4:59:34 PM

Covered GGE at 1.29 for an 3% gain

+3%

+$2,504


Covered CLVS at 1.70 for a 2.3% gain

+2.3%

+$1,920


Equity: $585,474


It looks like my strategy hasn't totally eroded over the years after all.



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